Mayor Bill de Blasio is down to a 50% job approval rating and 49% favorability in the latest Quinnipiac poll. His disapproval rate stands at 42%. By contrast, as recently as May the Mayor stood at 60% positive and only 34% negative.
The part of the poll that stood out for me is that de Blasio is underwater when it comes to running the schools.
From the summary of the poll:
- Voters disapprove 45 - 39 percent of his handling of the public schools.
Schools Chancellor Carmen Farina has a 35% approval rating. Give it some time and the Chancellor and Mayor may rate about as low as former Mayor Michael Bloomberg and Chancellor Joel Klein once did. In spite of these numbers, the Legislature in Albany did not have the guts to end mayoral control of NYC schools.
Overall, de Blasio is not in much reelection danger as he easily beats his Republican rival for the November election in a head-to-head race. However, one has to ask if potential Democratic rivals such as Letitia James or Scott Stringer are sorry they chose not to challenge de Blasio?
I have no access to computer this morning so I hope the link to the poll works.
16 comments:
De Blasio's probably in even better shape for re-election than the poll shows. Most people don't know anything about Nicole Malliotakis. When the de Blasio campaign starts running ads tying her to Donald Trump (she didn't support him in the primary but does now) and educates people about her immigration position (she sued to get the info from the ID card program in order to use that to deport people), her support will have a ceiling that she won't be able to break. Add in that other Republican pols don't like her or trust her and you have a candidate who's not a real threat to de Blasio.
Dietl is not a threat at all. All de Blasio would need to do to run against him is play tapes of Dietl spewing hate on the radio (like the Imus show) and then ask "Should a guy who talks like this be mayor of NYC?" to beat him.
It's a shame another Dem didn't jump into the race. Any chance of a challenge was pretty much ended after SDNY announced they were not filing criminal charges against de Blasio. His numbers were high in the May poll, in part driven by Trump angst (and de Blasio's very public stance against Trump), but now they're driven down by the MTA woes. De Blasio doesn't actually control the MTA, but most NYers don't know that, so he's suddenly vulnerable. If the MTA woes continue, expect de Blasio's numbers to fall more.
A Dem in a primary probably could have mounted a decent challenge to de Blasio, but alas we'll never know. As for Nicole Malliotakis or Bo Dietl, doubtful either does. We're stuck with de Blasio for another four years.
Right, means nothing. Easy re-election. Amazing part is, UFT, who says this is a great mayor, cant even get a decent contract from the great, easy to get along with, Dem mayor.
DeBlasio and Farina stand for nothing! When they have the opportunity to really put students first they fold like cheap cameras. Not to mention the invisible UFT!
He will get re-elected and it will be another 4 years of shitty contracts and no improvements to our teaching conditions.
Our union said he is our guy. You wonder why people want to leave.
So many years of suffering under Guiliani and Bloomberg, looking forward to the day when we would have an ally in city hall and this is it? This clown is our savior? Hahahahahahahahahah! The future is looking real bright people.
De Blasio will win. The only question is will our union be able to negotiate a better contract with him than last time!
The stock market is up more than 200% from 2009, all while we wait until October 2020 for money we are owed from the same period! Without interest!
Mayor de Blasio survives, SCOTUS ends mandatory dues, the UFT loses 30k members in the first year. We receive our last good contract-first good one in year, under de Blasio(he needs jobs after his mayoralship), and the next mayor, left-right-or center decimates our contract, work year. By 2030, while many who read this are still working, the UFT will be a shell, filled with shell contracts from charters, PROSE, and other concoctions of the UFT/CITY and charters.
No reason why we cant get 4 year, 12%, 3% payable dec 1 of 2018, 19, 20, 21.
Agree with 717. I was forced to work in a prose school. 5 one hour periods, school didnt start till 9am, no place to even eat your lunch except your own classroom. Uft answer, oh well, the 22 year old teachers voted on it, so too bad. But we are getting abused, and they are naive. Too bad.
Dream on 9:20. 3% a year. You are delusional if you think we get that.
Historically, 3% would be below average.
Look up what the inflation rates have been since the great recession and also think about how weak the unions are today. In addition, don't forget the 2% tax cap that has depressed wages around the state for public school teachers. The cap hasn't helped other unions either. We would have to fight for 3%. On the other hand, the governor may decide to be more generous to unions for his presidential campaign. That is always a possibility given the governor really has no principles other than promoting himself. Also, private sector unions are starting to get closer to 3%. Maybe we can get there but I think it will not be easy.
How about restore the 8.25%.
Need State Legislation. Isn't happening. I'm surprised CSA and CUNY PSC have kept it.
Honestly, he's ed record is horrible. He put a Klein hold over, Farina, in charge and she has only continued Klein's policies. I know many Democrats who are so frustrated with deBlasio not just because of this, but by his own actions which are to many to list here since becoming mayor. If you recall, when he campaigned he promised to put teachers ATRs back in the classroom. Better late than never is no excuse to keeping this promise. He never should have hired Farina.
I wish another candidate steps up, but one thing I learned is never assume any one is about to win. There are many, many strong Trump supporters out there and any Republican could easily win this election. I honestly do not want to vote for deBlasio. I won't vote Republican either. And if people stay home, like many Bernie people did, this city could well have a Republican in City Hall.
The mayor will easily win Africa American and Latino vote. It will be a low turnout too. It will likely be closer than polls are saying, but a Republican win would be a big surprise. I agree with points on Farina.
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