We have absolutely no idea if the Court will write their decision to force members to opt back in a union or if staying in will be the default and people will have to opt out. The NY Post reported on preparations the UFT is making to downsize if and when we lose Janus.
From the Post story:
The United Federation of Teachers is drafting plans to dramatically slash its $182 million budget — anticipating a Supreme Court ruling that would bar mandatory deduction of union dues from government workers’ paychecks to support union activities, The Post has learned.
The ruling could deliver a severe blow to union budgets by reducing membership and revenues by millions of dollars.
The 187,000-member UFT collects $56 twice monthly from each teacher's paycheck via automatic payroll deductions.
Some unions aren't waiting for the Court to make their decision.
In Maine, as our friend Bennett Fischer reported, the unions are conceding on Janus. Bennett reported, "Two of Maine's public sector unions, representing about 950 government employees, voted to throw in the towel - in the face of Janus - and gave up agency fees in return for 6oo 1% raises over two years."
In NYS, we do have the Triborough Amendment which would keep our contract in effect when it expires, even if we were a much smaller UFT or if people use Janus to start a newer union to replace the UFT. The Taylor Law is not an issue in Janus.
We can see it as a potential knockout blow or as a call to organize.