Tuesday, May 18, 2021

STRINGER SURGES IN NEW EMERSON-PIX 11 POLL

 This is from PIX 11:

NEW YORK CITY — Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams has taken a narrow lead in a brand-new PIX11, NewsNation, Emerson College poll on the New York City mayor’s race that also shows Comptroller Scott Stringer surging and respondents overwhelmingly not in favor of defunding the NYPD.

Adams got 17.5% of the first-choice votes, followed by entrepreneur Andrew Yang, who received 15.4%, and Stringer at 15.1%.

Rounding out the top five are former Sanitation Commissioner Kathryn Garcia at 7.8%, fresh off an endorsement by the New York Times, and non-profit executive Dianne Morales at 5.5%.

The poll found that using the city’s new ranked choice voting system, the contest could likely come down to Adams, Yang, Stringer, Garcia and former U.S. Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan. Only after Stringer, Garcia and Donovan would be eliminated did the poll of more than 1,000 New Yorkers narrowly declare a winner — with Adams finishing with 53% and Yang earning 47%.

The poll was also encouraging for Stringer, who was rocked by allegations of sexual harassment by Jean Kim a few weeks ago. Stringer lost key endorsements but has steadfastly denied the allegation.

PIX11, NewsNation and Emerson College found voters believe Stringer.

Nearly 28% of voters said the allegations against him are not credible; 26.5% of voters were unsure, and 18% said they found the allegations credible. More than a quarter of respondents had not heard about the allegation.

“I want to move to talking about the issues,” Stringer said upon learning the poll numbers. “New Yorkers know me, they know my record and it’s not about any political endorsements. It’s actually about the will of the people.”



For a full look at the poll results, go to this Emerson College piece.

23% of the voters in the poll still say they are undecided so obviously, the late breakers will decide this. The margin of error is +/- 3.8% for mayor so Stringer is within the margin of error and has a real chance according to this poll. Yes, I know it's one poll but he has come from behind in past elections to win and this is post sexual assault allegations that caused many prominent endorsers to abandon him. The UFT-AFT are sticking with Stringer; they are pretty much betting the farm on him. UFT's endorsement of Stringer looks a little better now and seeing pro-charter Yang and Adams not take commanding leads is hopeful. 

I have mixed feelings about Stringer but he looks like the most viable candidate of the center-left so he will more than likely be one of my choices and probably the top one. 

Cuomo's approval is down to 45% in the poll and most voters support the NYPD.

As for the schools, the majority in the poll still gives the NYC schools passing grades in the pandemic with 6% giving schools an A, 20% saying B, 37% giving a C, 21% dishing out a D grade, and 17% saying F.  Considering what the schools have been through, it is remarkable that 53% still give average or above-average grades to the schools while 38% go below average or failing. These numbers aren't great but are better than a total disaster.

For those who missed the Democratic Primary mayoral debate last week, Politico has a good summary. A fascinating subject that came up was mandatory vaccinations for students and staff being needed to attend school:

On the subject of school reopening, every candidate other than Adams, McGuire and Wiley said they would eventually require students to be vaccinated before returning to classrooms. None supported mandating the same of teachers.

I wonder if their positions on mandatory vaccines for teachers changes after one of them wins the election.

On why I won't go near Adams or Yang:

Stringer, who’s been reeling from an accusation of sexual misconduct, pointed to PACs funded by fat cats Kenneth Griffin and Dan Loeb that have helped Adams and Yang.

“They want to protect the interests of the wealthy and privatize public education,” Stringer said of the donors.

42 comments:

Anonymous said...

Yawn...

Anonymous said...

Stringer said he would dismantle the entire doe.

Anonymous said...

Stringer has a shot. Let's put him over.

Anonymous said...

Overheard in Park Slope:

Woman 1 to friend: are you going to rank Andrew Yang?

Woman 2: yeah, I’m ranking him #1.

Woman 1: WHAT

Woman 2: As the #1 a-hole in the race!

*they high five*

Anonymous said...

Overheard in Park Slope:

Woman 1 to friend: are you going to rank Andrew Yang?

Woman 2: yeah, I’m ranking him #1.

Woman 1: WHAT

Woman 2: As the #1 a-hole in the race!

*they high five*

Michael Gatton said...

Any thoughts on strategy for ranked choice voting? It looks like the counting could go all the way to the 4th or 5th round.

Also, giving "schools" a grade is not very helpful - a lot to unpack there.

Anonymous said...

Do you Park DOPES?

TJL said...

The DOE should be dismantled, bring back the Board of Ed.

Anonymous said...

The public schools of NYC really need Stringer to be our next Mayor. He is a true New Yorker why would anyone want to vote for Yang? A total outsider who will just disrupt things just for the sake of it not knowing jack squat about education.

For example the entire charter circus is exactly what it is..a circus of inexperienced teachers and administrators but Yang knows better right? DO NOT VOTE FOR YANG

Anonymous said...

First priority for whoever wins mayor this election for the schools is to end mayoral control. Di Blassio could care less what is happening in the city now. The gun violence is out of control and the subways are becoming violent with all the slashings. I can see now why kids feels unsafe coming to school and it's not because of Covid. The fact that the school calendar for next year came out and he knew nothing about the change in Columbus Day shows you his lack of control over the DOE.

David Suker said...

I’m voting Stringer! He’s the BORING that NYC needs right now!

David Suker said...

And he doesn’t win, I’m going to vote for Sliwa. The first Republican I will have ever voted for.

David Suker said...

Just to add on. If anyone watched the whole debate last week, Adams came off wholly arrogant and a bit of a jerk. Imagine dealing with that personality for 8 years. DeBlasio would be a fond recollection at that point!

Anonymous said...

I don’t think it matters much. No matter who is mayor this job will get worse. We will never go back to the pre Bloomberg days. DeBlasio the most progressive democrat mayor nyc has ever seen made the DOE worse. None of them will look out for teachers because every candidate knows you can fuck a nyc teacher anytime you want and they’ll take it quietly every time and keep paying their union to abandon them. Nyc teachers have shown the political class who we are. We are a group of cowards who will never fight.

David Suker said...

True.

David Suker said...

True.

Anonymous said...

I like Curtis too!

Anonymous said...

Curtis Sliwa calls us the Union of Failed Teachers. I don't think we do too well under Sliwa.

Not will to die yet said...

Sliwa is a cartoon character like Mulgrew.
Stop it please !

Anonymous said...

The DOE administrative bloat needs to be cleaned up. Someone need to clean house at the DOE.

Anonymous said...

None of the candidates has the guts to clean house at the DOE. The DOE will continue to get worse, more corrupt, and increase the size of the money pit.

If they do manage to get rid of the SHSAT, then all the schools will suck. I will still be waiting for all the sports teams to adopt the same philosophy of greater representation from every race and culture on each team!

Anonymous said...

If all the school suck, then the doe will be forced to change.

Anonymous said...

12:00 PM. Are you new? Who’s going to force them?

Anonymous said...

It's about time the lower level students were spread out to different schools. THey expect the lower level unscreened schools to take kids reading on a 3rd grade level to meet 12th grade standards before they graduate. How come of these schools can do it, the screened schools can't? Aren't they supposed to be highly effective schools with a highly effective teaching staff. Maybe the teachers there aren't so highly effective. We need to bring equity to the school system. That means all teachers not just some should have to teach the riffraff.

Anonymous said...

2:58. Put all the riffraff in their own schools, pay those teachers double so the rest of the kids and teachers stand a chance.

Michael Gatton said...

Could we not refer to children as riffraff?

riffraff
[ rif-raf ]

people, or a group of people, regarded as disreputable or worthless: a pack of riffraff.

the lowest classes; rabble: the riffraff of the city.

trash; rubbish.

Anonymous said...

Would you call them model students? What school do you teach such wonderful children?

waitingforsupport said...

Hah. Everyday I can bet that a commenter speaks the true feelings. Rif-raf is how these commenters describe children and rif raf is how Mulgrew Diblasio treats teachers. A boat load of rif-raf...children and adults.

Anonymous said...

Sorry if anyone was insulted by the term rif-raf, or however it's spelled, but at least I am willing to teach these students, unlike other teachers who flee to other schools and the suburbs to avoid them. Nobody is going to admit it openly, but the main reason teachers want to teach at specialized high schools and screened schools like Townsend Harris is so they can avoid these students. If you ever go on open market, see which schools always have multiple openings in the same subjects: Long Island City, Bryant, Flushing, Bowne, Richmond Hill, Van Buren, Cardozo, August Martin (and that school only has 300 students), and look how much trouble the Bronx has retaining teachers. Go to Inside Schools to see the racial breakdown of these schools and these are only schools in Queens. Bottom line is teachers that teach in the top schools may not seem racist on the surface, but there is an underlying layer of racism there. Let's not forget all the schools for Asian Studies too that teachers flee to.

Anonymous said...

As long as I get 130k plus per session. Thanks though.

Anonymous said...

655 pm, i admit it. The bosses also admitted it, that's why they dropped standards, suspensions and let the undeserving into certain schools. How can there be school with no merit? We know why.

Michael Gatton said...

@6:55 - Yes, the racism is pervasive and baked into the system, and way before we even start talking about education. But it perpetuates itself in part through the educational system. People's individual motives for leaving troubled schools aren't necessarily racist (but they can be), yet the effect is racist - students most in need, usually students of color, get poorly run schools that lack leadership, resources, and personnel to address their needs - to the extent schools can even do that. The fact that there exist schools with high percentages of challenging or struggling students is itself a product of our racist history. Anyway, the students corralled into these schools are just children caught up in the grind. Too big a topic to say much more about in a blog comment section. Cheers/.

Anonymous said...

I always laugh at the ‘everyone flees to the suburbs’. Do you know how hard it is to get a suburban teaching job?

You have to be related to a superintendent or have dirt on them. They get hundreds and thousands of electronic resumes.

As for the city, I will admit that I am definitely part of the rank and file that ‘goes along to get along.’ Sometimes, I feel bad. However, most times I just get over it and move on to planning my next trip or golf game.

To the ones who ‘fight the good fight’, I ask why? Besides stress and high blood pressure, what do you get out of it?

I’m probably in the wrong profession, but I just don’t see making myself nuts.

Anonymous said...

I used riffraff in response to the original riffraff user, Riffraff offensive? Please. Any kid who takes pleasure in assaulting peers and teachers as well as sexually harassing them ( “suck my dick”) is what then? Troubled youth? I call them scumbags because that’s what people who behave this way are. I stand by riffraff and scumbag to describe any kid or adult who assaults and sexually harasses. But you libs feel free to call them anything you want.

Anonymous said...

119. You should not be working with children.

Michael Gatton said...

I posted a response yesterday that seems to have gotten lost?

@6:55 - I get it and I think we would agree on some issues(?). Racism is baked into the system, and I mean the whole system even before we talk about education - an economic system that perpetuates poverty and alienation in whole classes of people from people of color to poor whites. It disproportionately affects people of color for obvious historical reasons and the sad fact that poor whites are reluctant to find common cause with people of color for their mutual benefit. Divided and conquered. The education system as set up exacerbates the disparity. Whether by conscious design or historical accident doesn't matter - the effect is racial inequity.

@1:43 - check.

@1:19 - It is offensive. We can agree that children are capable of behaving badly without relegating them to subhuman status.

waitingforsupport said...

@4:59pm...Exactly brother. Exactly!

Anonymous said...

I hate that word.but they can work remotely if they can't be respectful.how about that?will they?doubtful.often times, you can earn their trust and respect one to one.i worked with juvenile delinquents for more than 3 years.some were hardened beyond help.but many are very nice when you get to know them one on one.peer pressure is at play.if u try to have power struggles, u will be worse off.i also had disturbed middle schoolers who should have been in reform school.nothing I did helped.i get it.it depends on the families...we have a tough job the general public would never do our jobs.everyone games the liberal system with low expectations.just because teachers prefer kids they can reach doesn't make them racist though.maybe they just want to feel like they were useful. Who among us wants to be insulted?don't we all want to know that our work was not in vain?the city has no answers for troubled kids.their woke policy will deprive those are hard working.then perhaps they will go to private school.blame the policy makers who demoralize us.not racist.just don't want to beat my head against the wall for 30 years!!

Anonymous said...

6:04: Maybe you're not such a great teacher, if you want to teach only students that have internal motivation and want to be reached.

Anonymous said...

Behaving badly? Anyone who routinely assaults and sexually harasses is a scumbag. Period. End of story. I don’t care if they’re 7, 17 or 70.

Anonymous said...

I don’t have to be a great teacher in nyc. I just have to speak the woke language and teach woke lessons and my woke AP gives me highly effective which keeps me employed since our school’s test scores are shit. These people are so easy to play. If you think being a shitty teacher or the best teacher in the world matters to me, think again. It’s just a job. My job is irrelevant to my self worth. So are the opinions of strangers.

Anonymous said...

9:33 were you referring to me?please reread...i worked with juvenile delinquents and found it rewarding.i was referring to others.i agree that kids have to motivated.but some teachers are feeling beaten down. Personally, I find it rewarding to reach the hard to reach.but I never taught in the boogie down Bronx where there are many stressors.