There is some excellent analysis of the midterm election results from Ross Barkan's Political Currents. He writes mainly about how Democrats lost the Asian vote in New York but here is his take on the overall results:
Democrats under these circumstances—the midterm backlash, the unpopular president, persistently high inflation—performed quite well, flipping Pennsylvania, holding onto governor’s mansions in the Midwest, and even knocking out a few House Republicans. It’s plausible, at this point, Democrats will keep the Senate, something I did not think would happen on Tuesday morning. Mark Kelly holds a lead in Arizona and Raphael Warnock can defeat Herschel Walker in a runoff. In Nevada, Catherine Cortez Masto is behind, but she’s not dead yet as votes are waiting to be counted in Democratic areas.
Now let's talk about New York where the statewide Democratic incumbents Kathy Hochul, Chuck Schumer, Tish James, and Tom DeNapoli won but Republicans may have won the House of Representatives by turning over seats in New York including where I live (NY 3). But:
They [Republicans] chipped away at the Assembly’s Democratic majority, though it appears it will remain veto-proof. The Long Island washout hurt State Senate Democrats, but redistricting had been kinder to them, and they were able to net seats elsewhere. On the state level, at least, Democrats will be in full control, with progressives and socialists able to advocate for tangible change in Albany.
What does total Democratic control in Albany and probably some kind of split government in DC mean for public education?
I very much doubt the charter school cap will be lifted. As for funding, even if the federal government makes some budget cuts, money for education more than likely won't be gutted. If New York's new Congressmen are the difference in making a Republican majority in the House, they have to do something for their constituents or they will be quite vulnerable in 2024. They will be blamed if funds for schools are cut.
Does anyone have an opinion on how the next two years will go?